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InSmartBudget > Growing a Business > The Hidden Risk That Crashes Startups — Even the Profitable Ones

The Hidden Risk That Crashes Startups — Even the Profitable Ones

News Room By News Room June 21, 2025 8 Min Read
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In startup life, we’re trained to obsess over growth — more customers, more capital, more momentum. But when markets turn and uncertainty creeps in, all of that becomes secondary to one thing: liquidity.

Not in the crypto sense. Not in the Wall Street sense. I’m talking about your business’s ability to move. To hire. To sell. To adapt. To survive.

Liquidity is oxygen. And when it runs out, even the strongest companies start to choke.

What happens to your business when liquidity dries up

Crypto markets offer an exaggerated version of what happens in every sector. In boom times, platforms are flush with users and capital. Everyone is a buyer. Everyone is making noise. Confidence fuels acceleration.

But when trading volumes disappear and liquidity dries up, the whole system seizes. Deals stall. Prices swing. Projects that once felt unstoppable are suddenly frozen. Not because they failed on merit, but because they couldn’t keep moving in a tighter environment.

Traditional businesses face the same risk. Think back to March 2020, when the pandemic paralyzed global commerce overnight. Or the capital crunch of 2023–2024, when rising interest rates and a pullback in venture funding forced even promising startups to triage their spending.

Founders who had raised too fast, overbuilt too early, or hired aggressively without validating demand found themselves stuck. Not because the market didn’t need their solution, but because they no longer had the liquidity to pivot, refocus or wait it out.

Customers pulled back. Investors paused. Budgets froze. Revenue pipelines thinned. And in many cases, good companies couldn’t breathe.

Related: 4 Ways Modern Entrepreneurs Break Through Old Barriers to Start New Businesses

Liquidity is not the same as profitability

This is where many founders get caught off guard: your business can be profitable on paper and still die in a liquidity crunch.

You can be earning revenue, but still unable to make payroll. You can have high margins and loyal customers, but still run out of time and flexibility.

Why? Because when capital slows down, timelines stretch. Sales cycles take longer. Hiring gets harder. Investors take more time to commit.

In those moments, the advantage shifts. The companies that win aren’t necessarily the ones with the biggest topline. They’re the ones who are the most nimble. The ones that stay in motion.

How to stay liquid when everyone else freezes

If you’re building in a slow or uncertain market, the game changes. It’s no longer about maximizing growth at all costs. It’s about staying flexible, responsive, and resilient. Here’s how.

1. Ship faster, not bigger
Speed matters more than scale. Instead of placing a bet on one massive quarterly release, break things down into weekly, shippable progress. Smaller, faster iterations reduce risk and keep your team learning in real time. That momentum becomes your lifeline.

Use tools like Linear, Trello, or Notion to run lean sprints that drive clarity and direction without adding complexity. Fast cycles help you adapt as the market shifts and show external stakeholders that you’re alive and moving.

2. Get closer to your customers
In a liquidity crunch, your best insights don’t come from metrics—they come from conversations. Talk to customers every week. Ask where they’re hesitating. Ask what would make them stay longer, pay more, or refer a friend.

If you’re not talking to customers regularly, you’re guessing. And guessing is expensive in tight markets. Customer insight helps you build the right things, message more clearly and solve actual pain points rather than vanity features. It also increases retention and deepens brand trust — two things that compound over time.

3. Own your distribution
When capital dries up, attention becomes harder to buy and easier to earn. Paid acquisition gets less efficient. Budgets get slashed. That’s where owned channels become priceless.

Start or double down on your newsletter. Build a small but engaged community on Slack or Discord. Post content that educates, shares your journey, or showcases your customers. Be useful. Be consistent. Be human. If you don’t have a direct line to your audience, now is the time to build one.

4. Monitor your burn multiple
Don’t just track your bank balance — track how efficiently you’re turning dollars into revenue. Your burn multiple (how much you’re spending for every $1 of new revenue) is a leading indicator of sustainability.

Tools like Runway, Forecast, or even simple spreadsheet models can help you simulate scenarios and identify risk areas before they become existential.

Your goal isn’t just to reduce spend—it’s to make every dollar smarter.

5. Diversify your access to capital
When capital is scarce, optionality becomes leverage. Don’t rely on a single funding source, especially not traditional VC.

Explore grants. Pursue customer prepayments or multi-month commitments. Test lightweight partnerships. Consider alternative instruments like SAFEs or convertible notes. In some cases, even bartering services or offering revenue-share arrangements can buy you time.

The key is to build financial flexibility before you need it. Because once you need it, it’s already too late to negotiate from strength.

Related: Don’t Let Too Much of a Good Thing Crash Your Startup

Be ready before the flood

Here’s what many forget: when capital returns, it doesn’t trickle — it floods. And by the time the headlines announce a turnaround, the best-positioned companies have already made their moves. So keep your systems warm.

Keep your investor updates consistent, even if you’re not actively raising. Keep your waitlist nurtured. Keep your onboarding flows tight. Make sure your infrastructure can scale without breaking under pressure. You don’t need to overbuild. You just need to de-risk the basics.

When attention spikes again — and it will — investors and customers will chase traction, not potential. You want to be the one who’s already running, not just starting to stretch.

Build for movement, not hype

In boom times, hype looks like a strategy. But in hard times, movement is the only thing that matters.

The companies that survive aren’t lucky. They’re prepared. They’re lean. They’re liquid. They keep shipping, keep listening, keep showing up — even when no one’s watching.

So don’t build for headlines. Don’t wait for a trend to lift you. Build for optionality. Build for clarity. Build for momentum.

Because in startup life — especially when conditions get rough — the difference between survival and failure is simple.

It’s the ability to move.

Read the full article here

News Room June 21, 2025 June 21, 2025
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